Accepted Paper

Occident: from the green deal to the war deal  
Bruno Fornillo (CONICET-UBA)

Presentation short abstract

The West has abandoned its earlier leadership in climate policy as technological and economic competition with emerging Asian powers—especially China—intensifies. Instead, Western states are increasingly prioritizing military spending, national security, and war preparation

Presentation long abstract

The article analyzes a sharp shift in Western geopolitical strategy over the past years. Traditionally, the United States, the European Union, and other Western actors championed a corporate-led transition to renewable energy and sustainability. However, this orientation has drastically changed due to global crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine.

The West has abandoned its earlier leadership in climate policy as technological and economic competition with emerging Asian powers—especially China—intensifies. Instead, Western states are increasingly prioritizing military spending, national security, and war preparation as means to sustain economic power. This shift is described as moving from a Green Deal to a War Deal, where military Keynesianism becomes a core response to economic stagnation and geopolitical decline.

The article suggests that this strategy both deepens socio-ecological crises and reinforces a system where war becomes an instrument of economic and geopolitical policy. He proposes that a different model—one of social justice, ecological sustainability, and international solidarity—is necessary to confront global inequality and environmental limits.

Panel P120
Energy Eco-Politics. Transitions and metabolisms in dispute