Accepted Paper

The End of ODA as We Knew It: Continuities and Ruptures Under Takaichi  
Marco Zappa (Ca' Foscari University Venice)

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Paper short abstract

Japan’s Official Development Assistance has undergone several changes in its 70-year history. This paper discusses how the newly appointed Takaichi cabinet is readjusting Japan’s long-standing aid-giving philosophy to address new needs emerging from strategic shifts within the global aid industry.

Paper long abstract

Amidst significant shifts in the regional and international security environment, Japan’s international cooperation reached its 70th anniversary in 2024. As a cornerstone of postwar diplomacy, Official Development Assistance (ODA) was instrumental in reshaping Japan’s global image and cementing its reputation as an “aid superpower” during the 1980s and 1990s. While Japanese leaders aimed to contribute to the international community, this resolve was only one facet of the narrative. During the 1980s, aid evolved into a cornerstone of Japan’s 'comprehensive security' strategy, serving to secure raw materials and stabilize the US-Japan alliance. However, as cases of ODA misuse emerged in the 2000s, public and political opinion began demanding that aid primarily serve the national interest. This shift crystallized in 2015 under the second Abe administration. Yet, it was under former Prime Minister Kishida, against the backdrop of the 2022 Russia-Ukraine war, that Tokyo further tightened the nexus between aid and security. This culminated in the Official Security Assistance (OSA) framework, aimed at partners in the Indo-Pacific. This trajectory has persisted with the rise of a more conservative faction within the ruling LDP. As a candidate in 2025, Prime Minister Takaichi pledged to further boost ODA and OSA to strengthen Japan’s diplomatic influence vis-à-vis China's clout over the Asia-Pacific by providing aid more strategically and prioritizing defense -- particularly in the ASEAN subregion. Indeed, the December 2025 announcement of funding cuts to the UN Global Fund (for AIDS, Tuberculosis, and Malaria) signals a retreat from the "civilian power" legacy built over seven decades. Nevertheless, the new government’s strategy remains consistent with the incremental changes enacted since the 2010s and aligns with public scepticism of international cooperation, amidst sluggish growth and high inflation.

Panel T0523
The Takaichi Government’s Strategic Push amid Global Upheavals: The US-Japan alliance, quantum computing, Official Development Assistance and Taiwan