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Accepted Paper:

India and Afghanistan after 2014: regional and global context  
Tatiana Shaumyan (Institute of Oriental Studies RAS)

Paper short abstract:

The aggravation of the situation in the Afghanistan after withdrawal of the U.S. and NATO troops could become a serious factor in the destabilization of the situation inside India and on its borders. India’s role in Afghanistan after 2014 needs to be carefully considered by Indian policy makers.

Paper long abstract:

In anticipation of withdrawal of the U.S. and NATO troops from Afghanistan, analysts and political scientists are discuss the future of this country, the prospects for the development of the situation in the region and the role of neighboring and adjacent countries and great powers. The departure of the coalition forces can lead to unpredictable consequences and chaos in Afghanistan. Much will depend if ruling political forces be able to reach a compromise between the Taliban and the North Alliance of Afghanistan. Special attention should be given to an analysis of the role and place of India, whose relations with Afghanistan have a long history.

For a multi-national, multi-confessional India, the aggravation of the situation in the adjacent Afghanistan could become a serious factor in the destabilization of the situation inside the country and on its borders. Pakistan is not without reason has accused by India that its territory was carried out infiltration across the line of control in Jammu and Kashmir militants for terrorist acts on Indian territory, and a significant part of them - Afghan Mujahedeen. Therefore, the prospect of coming to power in Afghanistan the Islamic extremists of the movement "Taliban" by definition cannot but cause concern Delhi in view of the action of the Islamic factor in India.

With the withdrawal of foreign troops from Afghanistan India may play a greater role in assisting Afghanistan in whatever way possible. India's role in Afghanistan after 2014 needs to be carefully considered by Indian policy makers.

Panel P51
Foreign policies in South Asia
  Session 1