Paper short abstract:

This paper aims to explain forced migration within the general forecast of the osmosis theory of human migration. In addition, it shows the importance of projecting and planning for forced migration. It concludes the projection of the force and the trajectories of forced migration in the region.

Paper long abstract:

This paper aims to explain forced migration within the general forecast of the osmosis theory of human migration. In addition, it shows the importance of projecting and planning for forced migration. Based on the osmosis theory, the force and the trajectory of forced migration are explained. This study concludes that, the force of forced migration is determined by the high migration pressure between the concerned, the neighboring, and the developed countries. Furthermore, forced migration is oriented by the level of borders permeability in the region.

Such understanding of forced migration means the possibility its projection and consequently the possibility of avoiding its negative effects on humanity in general and on societies in particular. Moreover, these negative effects could be transformed into safe, orderly and regular migration. The projection of forced migration is through regional scenarios of the osmosis model of migration. Different scenarios of the future of the Mediterranean migration will be drown. Such understanding and projecting forced migration strengthen and facilitate the achievement of the objectives of the refugees global compact.