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Paper short abstract

This paper examines factors for allocating adaptation finance in Tanzania, revealing strong links between economic factors and allocation(R²=0.4183), vulnerability (R²=0.5353), and institutional and political with allocation (R²=0.485; 0.6825).

Paper long abstract

Financing climate change adaptation is central to global climate discussions, however, there is insufficient information on how finance is allocated. This paper examines factors shaping the allocation of finance for climate change adaptation in Tanzania. Purposive sampling was used to obtain respondents based on climate financing experience. Quantitative method involved document review, data was drawn from OECD-DAC, national and district budgets between 2014 to 2022. Qualitative data was drawn using key informant interviews and focus group discussions from central and local governments, donors and the private sector. Quantitative data was analyzed for descriptive statistics using an Excel spreadsheet to find relationships among factors. Qualitative data was thematically analyzed using NVivo version 13. Results show that the economic factor had a strong relationship with the national budget where R2 = 0.4183. Reducing vulnerability factor had strong relationships with developed countries where R2 = 0.5353, the national budget where R2 = 0.4644 and moderate with Karatu where R2 = 0.3071. Institutional capacity and political factors had strong relationships with the national budget where R2 = 0.485 and R2 = 0.6825 respectively. Also, political factor had a strong relationship with Karatu where R2 = 0.5754. Cultural factor had a very strong relationship with the national budget where R2 = 0.6825. This paper concludes that the factors used in allocating finance for climate change adaptation are beyond environmental concerns. This study recommends a balanced allocation of finance between adaptation and a broad development goal to prevent maladaptation.