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Accepted Paper:
In search of nexus triple wins: planning for and evidence of economic transformation, social inclusion, and ecological sustainability in Sri Lanka, Thailand, and the Dominican Republic.
Sam Pickard
(ODI)
Alberto Lemma
(ODI)
Paper short abstract:
This paper explores how government planning in three middle-income countries evolved to interweave economic, social, and environmental policy goals and the outcomes these 'nexus' policies have produced. We also trace where policies emerged from and how they moved to the centres of power.
Paper long abstract:
Achieving prosperity for all within planetary boundaries requires that governments take wide-ranging transformative action, but joining up policies across different fields (economic, social, environmental) can be challenging. A companion analysis also undertaken under the ODI Nexus project (Diwakar, 2022) empirically analysed key development indicators and identified the Dominican Republic, Sri Lanka and Thailand as front-runners in achieving more holistic development outcomes. Looking deeper at these case studies, we sought to identify national policy interventions that struck balances between the different objectives or realms of development. We identified development planning that has led to significant measurable outcomes, and explored the policy development, legislation and, implementation processes required for integrated transformational policy to succeed.
In each country we found national-scale, triple-win policies led from the main seats of power that usually emerged following a trigger event that forced a reckoning with the failures of previous pathways. However, there is not yet much evidence of triple-win outcomes being achieved, i.e., despite targeting balanced development outcomes, the case study countries have performed well in only one or two areas, often implicitly trading off the other realm. 'Additive' rather than transformational development pathways, and a failure to contend with trade-offs between the realms and administrative inertia hampered more truly multi-dimensional development.
We conclude with suggestions for future work to unpick not only how to outline integrated 'landing spaces' for transformational nexus policies, but also how to support them to achieve their outcomes in the timeframes required to ensure equitable prosperity within planetary boundaries.
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Accepted Paper:
Paper short abstract:
Paper long abstract:
Achieving prosperity for all within planetary boundaries requires that governments take wide-ranging transformative action, but joining up policies across different fields (economic, social, environmental) can be challenging. A companion analysis also undertaken under the ODI Nexus project (Diwakar, 2022) empirically analysed key development indicators and identified the Dominican Republic, Sri Lanka and Thailand as front-runners in achieving more holistic development outcomes. Looking deeper at these case studies, we sought to identify national policy interventions that struck balances between the different objectives or realms of development. We identified development planning that has led to significant measurable outcomes, and explored the policy development, legislation and, implementation processes required for integrated transformational policy to succeed.
In each country we found national-scale, triple-win policies led from the main seats of power that usually emerged following a trigger event that forced a reckoning with the failures of previous pathways. However, there is not yet much evidence of triple-win outcomes being achieved, i.e., despite targeting balanced development outcomes, the case study countries have performed well in only one or two areas, often implicitly trading off the other realm. 'Additive' rather than transformational development pathways, and a failure to contend with trade-offs between the realms and administrative inertia hampered more truly multi-dimensional development.
We conclude with suggestions for future work to unpick not only how to outline integrated 'landing spaces' for transformational nexus policies, but also how to support them to achieve their outcomes in the timeframes required to ensure equitable prosperity within planetary boundaries.
Poverty and climate change
Session 1 Friday 8 July, 2022, -